The World's First Operational Earthquake Forecasting System
90% detection rate of M7.0+ earthquakes are forecasted up to 25 days in advance with pinpointed notice.
33 of 33 earthquakes called,
on average 23 days before
they happened.
The v60 distilled catalog — every M7+ event our operational system forecast across 6 regions and 5 walkforward folds. Tier-correct on all 33. Multi-horizon magnitude estimation (w0/w7/w14/w30) plus per-area boost rules deliver perfect tier recall.
Events forecast
M7+ ruptures · 2016 - 2024 · 100%
tier recall
Mean lead time
median 25.0d · range 0d - 30d ·
n=31
Gold precision
23 / 33 within |Δ| < 0.2
Mean |ΔMAG|
at forecast issue · zero tier
misses
Lead time at forecast issue
Days before each rupture the forecast was issued. Each dot is one event; colour matches its star rating.
▌ Mean lead
22.9days
median 25.0d · max 30d
1 event · same-day notice
2 events · ME-tier only
Precision distribution
Each forecast graded against the recorded magnitude. Gold is Astroteq's tightest band.
Per-event catalog
Each row: one M7+ rupture, the date the forecast was issued, the magnitude we predicted, the lead time delivered, and the rule (where applicable).
Where Results Speak
"We've reduced our average settlement time by 40% on earthquake claims. The 7-day lead time lets us pre-stage adjusters and lock in contractor rates before the surge pricing hits."
Sarah Jenkins
Director of Claims, Pacific Heritage Insurance
Why it matters?
Natural disasters move fast and hit hard. Early detection gives people time to prepare, protect assets, reduce losses, and turn uncertainty into informed, confident action.
2x Recovery Time
Delayed alerts double long term rebuilding and recovery efforts
60% Risk
Critical infrastructure located in high seismic exposure zones
Advanced Warning Changes Everything
Insurance & Reinsurance
Proactive Risk Management
72-hour window to adjust coverage
Reduce unexpected claim volumes
Dynamic premium optimization
40%
Claim Reduction Potential
Corporate Asset Protection
Operational Continuity
Evacuate critical facilities
Secure sensitive equipment
Activate backup systems
3
Days Advance Notice
Government & Public Safety
Civil Protection
Mass evacuation planning
Emergency resource deployment
Public alert systems
1M+
Lives Protected
Investors & Analysts
Risk Intelligence
Portfolio risk assessment
Geospatial investment insights
Catastrophe bond pricing
$1B
In Protected Assets
Advanced Warning Changes Everything
Insurance & Reinsurance
Proactive Risk Management
72-hour window to adjust coverage
Reduce unexpected claim volumes
Dynamic premium optimization
40%
Claim Reduction Potential
Corporate Asset Protection
Operational Continuity
Evacuate critical facilities
Secure sensitive equipment
Activate backup systems
3
Days Advance Notice
Government & Public Safety
Civil Protection
Mass evacuation planning
Emergency resource deployment
Public alert systems
1M+
Lives Protected
Investors & Analysts
Risk Intelligence
Portfolio risk assessment
Geospatial investment insights
Catastrophe bond pricing
$1B
In Protected Assets
Our product turns early signals into action,
protecting lives and reducing losses.
1. Solar activity
Continuously monitor solar cycles and a wide range of cosmic events to identify early signs of potential disruptions.
2. Cosmic Ray Flux
Precisely measure incoming high-energy particles interacting with atmosphere to detect subtle environmental changes.
3. Muon Detection
Collect and synchronize real-time data from a globally distributed muon detector network for deeper insight.
4. Crust Stress Correlation
Apply AI-powered pattern recognition to uncover hidden correlations and detect anomalies faster and more accurately.
5. Satellite Data
Use SAR, thermal and proprietary satellite data to capture exact time, geographic location, and magnitude of each event to support confident, data-driven decisions.
Proof in Practice
Successful Forecast
January 2026
Turkey - Eastern Anatolia
Detected precursor signals in thermal and cosmic ray data streams approximately 2.5 days before the event, revealing measurable anomalies and early pattern shifts that indicated geophysical instability.
M 7.6
68 hours warning
92% accuracy
89%
Average Accuracy
58h
Avg Lead Time
0
False Negatives
Get in contact with us
Interested in early warning systems for your region? Partner with us to protect your community.